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2024-12-14 01:42:06

Afternoon comment: index adjustment The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.49% in half a day. Bean bag concept stocks were strong in early trading, and the index was collectively adjusted in early trading. The three major stock indexes all fell by more than 1%. In terms of sectors, the concept stocks of bean bags were strong in early trading, and the collective daily limit of three-dimensional communication, Beiwei Technology, Global Printing, and Zhewen Internet; The concept of ice and snow industry continued its upward trend. Jingxue energy-saving 20cm daily limit, iceberg cold and hot, snowman shares and other daily limit closures; The game e-sports sector is active, and the daily limit of Zhewen Internet and Electric Soul Network is up; Real estate stocks continued to adjust, and Hefei Urban Construction and Gorgeous Family were among the top losers. Food, liquor and other consumer sectors fell into a callback, and Yiming food fell to a limit; Insurance stocks weakened collectively, led by China Life Insurance. Overall, individual stocks showed a general decline trend, with more than 4,100 stocks falling. On the disk, the Aauto Quicker concept, short play games and cultural media sectors were among the top gainers, while the insurance, liquor and real estate sectors were among the top losers.According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.Keshun Co., Ltd. and others set up a new building materials company in Jiangmen. The enterprise search APP shows that Jiangmen Yinzhou Lake Keshun Building Materials Co., Ltd. was established recently, with Feng Bihua as the legal representative and a registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of photovoltaic equipment and components; Manufacturing of eco-environmental materials; Water pollution prevention and control services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is jointly held by Keshun and others.


Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.ST Mo Long and other materials companies have set up sales business of renewable resources. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shandong Cangyuan Materials Co., Ltd. was established, with Liu Shuai as the legal representative and a registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of machinery and equipment; Sales of coal and products; Sales of renewable resources; Import and export agents, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by ST Mo Long and others.According to the data released by Shanghai Steel Union, the price of battery-grade lithium carbonate (in early trading) dropped by 100 yuan compared with the previous day, with an average price of 76,350 yuan/ton.


Weixing Co., Ltd.: Compared with the first half of the year, the growth rate of acquiring orders in the second half of the year gradually declined, but the overall growth rate still maintained. Weixing Co., Ltd. recently said in a conference call that due to the influence of the terminal consumption boom, downstream brand customers were cautious in placing orders, and the growth rate of acquiring orders in the second half of the year gradually declined compared with the first half of the year, but the overall growth rate still maintained. In recent years, the company has mainly focused on promoting globalization strategy, intelligent manufacturing strategy and improving manufacturing level, technical level and product quality, and achieved certain results.Pan Xuan, Beijing Local Financial Administration: The total investable assets of households in Beijing's wealth management market are about 16 trillion yuan. Pan Xuan, deputy director of Beijing Local Financial Administration, pointed out in the global wealth management forum today that Beijing's wealth management industry has good basic conditions, huge market potential and strong demand, and has unique advantages in developing wealth management industry. Among them, on the supply side, the asset management scale of institutions such as bank wealth management, insurance asset management, Public Offering of Fund, private equity funds, trusts and brokerage asset management in Beijing exceeds 30 trillion yuan, accounting for nearly 30% of the country; At the same time, the scale of private equity and venture capital management is also the first in the country. On the demand side, the total investable assets of households in Beijing are about 16 trillion yuan, and the number of high-net-worth families, ultra-high-net-worth families and international ultra-high-net-worth families ranks first in the country.*ST Hetai set up a new company including integrated circuit sales business. According to the enterprise survey APP, recently, Yizhixin Technology Co., Ltd. in Fuzhou High-tech Zone was established. The legal representative is Haining, and its business scope includes: sales of special equipment for semiconductor devices; Integrated circuit sales; Internet of things technology research and development; Internet of things application services, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is indirectly wholly-owned by *ST Hetai.

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